Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's unopposed path in the August 18 primary for Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+7 Cook PVI, drives trader consensus toward an 85% implied probability of a GOP hold. Recent Florida legislative approval of a mid-decade redistricting map in late April 2026 reinforced the district's Republican lean, projecting a statewide 24-4 advantage amid Mast's strong past margins (62% in 2024). Mast's April 29 re-election announcement highlighted $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing fragmented Democratic primary contenders like fundraiser Pia Dandiya ($1.2 million). Independents Alexander Cooke and Robert Ott pose minimal threat in this incumbency-favored race ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,041 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$2,791 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's unopposed path in the August 18 primary for Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+7 Cook PVI, drives trader consensus toward an 85% implied probability of a GOP hold. Recent Florida legislative approval of a mid-decade redistricting map in late April 2026 reinforced the district's Republican lean, projecting a statewide 24-4 advantage amid Mast's strong past margins (62% in 2024). Mast's April 29 re-election announcement highlighted $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing fragmented Democratic primary contenders like fundraiser Pia Dandiya ($1.2 million). Independents Alexander Cooke and Robert Ott pose minimal threat in this incumbency-favored race ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,832วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's unopposed path in the August 18 primary for Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+7 Cook PVI, drives trader consensus toward an 85% implied probability of a GOP hold. Recent Florida legislative approval of a mid-decade redistricting map in late April 2026 reinforced the district's Republican lean, projecting a statewide 24-4 advantage amid Mast's strong past margins (62% in 2024). Mast's April 29 re-election announcement highlighted $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing fragmented Democratic primary contenders like fundraiser Pia Dandiya ($1.2 million). Independents Alexander Cooke and Robert Ott pose minimal threat in this incumbency-favored race ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,832วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's unopposed path in the August 18 primary for Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+7 Cook PVI, drives trader consensus toward an 85% implied probability of a GOP hold. Recent Florida legislative approval of a mid-decade redistricting map in late April 2026 reinforced the district's Republican lean, projecting a statewide 24-4 advantage amid Mast's strong past margins (62% in 2024). Mast's April 29 re-election announcement highlighted $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing fragmented Democratic primary contenders like fundraiser Pia Dandiya ($1.2 million). Independents Alexander Cooke and Robert Ott pose minimal threat in this incumbency-favored race ahead of the November 3 general election.
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