Melanie Stansbury’s strong position in the NM-01 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 to D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins, combined with her incumbency and established fundraising edge. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Okpareke, a pharmacist who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the district’s Albuquerque-centered electorate. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat based on historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$36,540 ปริมาณ
$36,540 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Melanie Stansbury (D)
94%
Didi Okpareke (R)
6%
$36,540 ปริมาณ
$36,540 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Melanie Stansbury (D)
$19,024 ปริมาณ
94%
Didi Okpareke (R)
$17,515 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury’s strong position in the NM-01 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 to D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins, combined with her incumbency and established fundraising edge. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Okpareke, a pharmacist who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the district’s Albuquerque-centered electorate. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,540วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury’s strong position in the NM-01 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 to D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins, combined with her incumbency and established fundraising edge. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Okpareke, a pharmacist who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the district’s Albuquerque-centered electorate. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,540วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Melanie Stansbury’s strong position in the NM-01 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 to D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins, combined with her incumbency and established fundraising edge. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Okpareke, a pharmacist who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the district’s Albuquerque-centered electorate. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat based on historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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