Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, fueled by the district's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index, his decisive 58-42% general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low in 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority with over $3 million raised through March compared to negligible sums for challengers. Republican candidates Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé, alongside independent Jotham Stein, pose minimal threat in this Silicon Valley-based safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report and other ratings. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though a late scandal, health issue for Liccardo, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$70,541 ปริมาณ
$70,541 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$70,541 ปริมาณ
$70,541 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$47,684 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$22,857 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, fueled by the district's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index, his decisive 58-42% general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low in 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority with over $3 million raised through March compared to negligible sums for challengers. Republican candidates Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé, alongside independent Jotham Stein, pose minimal threat in this Silicon Valley-based safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report and other ratings. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though a late scandal, health issue for Liccardo, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,541วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, fueled by the district's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index, his decisive 58-42% general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low in 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority with over $3 million raised through March compared to negligible sums for challengers. Republican candidates Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé, alongside independent Jotham Stein, pose minimal threat in this Silicon Valley-based safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report and other ratings. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though a late scandal, health issue for Liccardo, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,541วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, fueled by the district's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index, his decisive 58-42% general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low in 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority with over $3 million raised through March compared to negligible sums for challengers. Republican candidates Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé, alongside independent Jotham Stein, pose minimal threat in this Silicon Valley-based safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report and other ratings. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though a late scandal, health issue for Liccardo, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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