The strong Democratic positioning in California's 16th congressional district stems from its pronounced partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in this Silicon Valley-based area spanning Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited Republican opposition, reinforcing trader consensus on the November general election outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary surprise, major candidate health developments, or late-breaking national events altering turnout in this reliably Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$76,170 ปริมาณ
$76,170 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$76,170 ปริมาณ
$76,170 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$48,949 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$27,220 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic positioning in California's 16th congressional district stems from its pronounced partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in this Silicon Valley-based area spanning Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited Republican opposition, reinforcing trader consensus on the November general election outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary surprise, major candidate health developments, or late-breaking national events altering turnout in this reliably Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,170วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic positioning in California's 16th congressional district stems from its pronounced partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in this Silicon Valley-based area spanning Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited Republican opposition, reinforcing trader consensus on the November general election outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary surprise, major candidate health developments, or late-breaking national events altering turnout in this reliably Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,170วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic positioning in California's 16th congressional district stems from its pronounced partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in this Silicon Valley-based area spanning Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited Republican opposition, reinforcing trader consensus on the November general election outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary surprise, major candidate health developments, or late-breaking national events altering turnout in this reliably Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย