Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 75.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The even partisan voting index and Lean Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report underscore the district’s competitiveness, yet Vasquez benefits from incumbency after narrow victories in prior cycles. His unopposed Democratic primary contrasted with Republican Greg Cunningham’s primary win, setting up a matchup where early polling showed a tight contest. Trader sentiment appears driven by these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major shifts since the June 2026 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$17,574 ปริมาณ
$17,574 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
17%
$17,574 ปริมาณ
$17,574 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,496 ปริมาณ
75%
Republican Party
$16,078 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 75.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The even partisan voting index and Lean Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report underscore the district’s competitiveness, yet Vasquez benefits from incumbency after narrow victories in prior cycles. His unopposed Democratic primary contrasted with Republican Greg Cunningham’s primary win, setting up a matchup where early polling showed a tight contest. Trader sentiment appears driven by these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major shifts since the June 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,574วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 75.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The even partisan voting index and Lean Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report underscore the district’s competitiveness, yet Vasquez benefits from incumbency after narrow victories in prior cycles. His unopposed Democratic primary contrasted with Republican Greg Cunningham’s primary win, setting up a matchup where early polling showed a tight contest. Trader sentiment appears driven by these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major shifts since the June 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,574วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 75.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The even partisan voting index and Lean Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report underscore the district’s competitiveness, yet Vasquez benefits from incumbency after narrow victories in prior cycles. His unopposed Democratic primary contrasted with Republican Greg Cunningham’s primary win, setting up a matchup where early polling showed a tight contest. Trader sentiment appears driven by these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major shifts since the June 2026 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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