Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to retain Oregon's 6th Congressional District, a D+6 seat spanning Portland suburbs and the Willamette Valley rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary, Salinas enters with $1.3 million raised and $589,000 cash on hand as of late April, vastly outpacing Republican David Russ' $5,000 receipts in his uncontested GOP primary. Her 2024 victory margin of 53%-47% underscores incumbency strength in a neutral midterm environment. A national Republican House wave, personal scandal, or unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-06 House Election Winner
OR-06 House Election Winner
$16,569 ปริมาณ
$16,569 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,569 ปริมาณ
$16,569 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,056 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$9,513 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to retain Oregon's 6th Congressional District, a D+6 seat spanning Portland suburbs and the Willamette Valley rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary, Salinas enters with $1.3 million raised and $589,000 cash on hand as of late April, vastly outpacing Republican David Russ' $5,000 receipts in his uncontested GOP primary. Her 2024 victory margin of 53%-47% underscores incumbency strength in a neutral midterm environment. A national Republican House wave, personal scandal, or unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,569วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to retain Oregon's 6th Congressional District, a D+6 seat spanning Portland suburbs and the Willamette Valley rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary, Salinas enters with $1.3 million raised and $589,000 cash on hand as of late April, vastly outpacing Republican David Russ' $5,000 receipts in his uncontested GOP primary. Her 2024 victory margin of 53%-47% underscores incumbency strength in a neutral midterm environment. A national Republican House wave, personal scandal, or unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,569วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to retain Oregon's 6th Congressional District, a D+6 seat spanning Portland suburbs and the Willamette Valley rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Unopposed in the May 19 Democratic primary, Salinas enters with $1.3 million raised and $589,000 cash on hand as of late April, vastly outpacing Republican David Russ' $5,000 receipts in his uncontested GOP primary. Her 2024 victory margin of 53%-47% underscores incumbency strength in a neutral midterm environment. A national Republican House wave, personal scandal, or unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย