Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index and narrow margins in recent cycles that have produced toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey sponsored by a conservative group, showed Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, while fundraising and candidate recruitment have favored Democrats. These factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics for the party holding the White House, underpin trader consensus that positions the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite. Primary elections scheduled for July 2026 and any shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$470 ปริมาณ
77%
Republican Party
$954 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index and narrow margins in recent cycles that have produced toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey sponsored by a conservative group, showed Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, while fundraising and candidate recruitment have favored Democrats. These factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics for the party holding the White House, underpin trader consensus that positions the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite. Primary elections scheduled for July 2026 and any shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,424วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index and narrow margins in recent cycles that have produced toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey sponsored by a conservative group, showed Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, while fundraising and candidate recruitment have favored Democrats. These factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics for the party holding the White House, underpin trader consensus that positions the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite. Primary elections scheduled for July 2026 and any shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,424วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index and narrow margins in recent cycles that have produced toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey sponsored by a conservative group, showed Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, while fundraising and candidate recruitment have favored Democrats. These factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics for the party holding the White House, underpin trader consensus that positions the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite. Primary elections scheduled for July 2026 and any shifts in national conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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