Glenn Ivey's incumbency in Maryland's 4th Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index encompassing Prince George's County and federal employee-heavy suburbs, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ivey's 2024 landslide victory (88% to 11%) and dominant fundraising ($426,000 cash on hand versus challengers' minimal totals) reinforce this positioning, with no public polling or recent scandals shifting dynamics since the February filing deadline. The June 23 primaries loom, where Ivey faces a crowded but underfunded Democratic field, while Republican George McDermott seeks renomination after prior defeats. A commanding lead persists absent a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Ivey scandal, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$17,762 ปริมาณ
$17,762 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$17,762 ปริมาณ
$17,762 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,553 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$14,210 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Glenn Ivey's incumbency in Maryland's 4th Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index encompassing Prince George's County and federal employee-heavy suburbs, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ivey's 2024 landslide victory (88% to 11%) and dominant fundraising ($426,000 cash on hand versus challengers' minimal totals) reinforce this positioning, with no public polling or recent scandals shifting dynamics since the February filing deadline. The June 23 primaries loom, where Ivey faces a crowded but underfunded Democratic field, while Republican George McDermott seeks renomination after prior defeats. A commanding lead persists absent a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Ivey scandal, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,762วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Glenn Ivey's incumbency in Maryland's 4th Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index encompassing Prince George's County and federal employee-heavy suburbs, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ivey's 2024 landslide victory (88% to 11%) and dominant fundraising ($426,000 cash on hand versus challengers' minimal totals) reinforce this positioning, with no public polling or recent scandals shifting dynamics since the February filing deadline. The June 23 primaries loom, where Ivey faces a crowded but underfunded Democratic field, while Republican George McDermott seeks renomination after prior defeats. A commanding lead persists absent a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Ivey scandal, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,762วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Glenn Ivey's incumbency in Maryland's 4th Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a D+39 Cook Partisan Voter Index encompassing Prince George's County and federal employee-heavy suburbs, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ivey's 2024 landslide victory (88% to 11%) and dominant fundraising ($426,000 cash on hand versus challengers' minimal totals) reinforce this positioning, with no public polling or recent scandals shifting dynamics since the February filing deadline. The June 23 primaries loom, where Ivey faces a crowded but underfunded Democratic field, while Republican George McDermott seeks renomination after prior defeats. A commanding lead persists absent a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Ivey scandal, or unprecedented national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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