Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and delivering 88 percent support for the incumbent Democrat in the most recent general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces several primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful fundraising or name recognition to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with historical margins and the absence of any credible opposition or redistricting developments that would alter the district’s composition before Election Day. Late shifts could still occur if a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout materializes in the final months, though such developments have been rare in this Washington, D.C. suburban stronghold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$24,585 ปริมาณ
$24,585 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$24,585 ปริมาณ
$24,585 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,057 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$16,528 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and delivering 88 percent support for the incumbent Democrat in the most recent general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces several primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful fundraising or name recognition to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with historical margins and the absence of any credible opposition or redistricting developments that would alter the district’s composition before Election Day. Late shifts could still occur if a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout materializes in the final months, though such developments have been rare in this Washington, D.C. suburban stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,585วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and delivering 88 percent support for the incumbent Democrat in the most recent general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces several primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful fundraising or name recognition to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with historical margins and the absence of any credible opposition or redistricting developments that would alter the district’s composition before Election Day. Late shifts could still occur if a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout materializes in the final months, though such developments have been rare in this Washington, D.C. suburban stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,585วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and delivering 88 percent support for the incumbent Democrat in the most recent general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces several primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet no Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful fundraising or name recognition to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with historical margins and the absence of any credible opposition or redistricting developments that would alter the district’s composition before Election Day. Late shifts could still occur if a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout materializes in the final months, though such developments have been rare in this Washington, D.C. suburban stronghold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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