Incumbent Republican Eli Crane seeks reelection in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7. This structural advantage, combined with Crane’s 2024 performance exceeding 54 percent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders, led by former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, face the July 21, 2026 primary before a November general election in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the positioning, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could influence final margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$357 ปริมาณ
63%
Democratic Party
$247 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane seeks reelection in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7. This structural advantage, combined with Crane’s 2024 performance exceeding 54 percent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders, led by former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, face the July 21, 2026 primary before a November general election in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the positioning, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$604วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane seeks reelection in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7. This structural advantage, combined with Crane’s 2024 performance exceeding 54 percent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders, led by former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, face the July 21, 2026 primary before a November general election in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the positioning, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$604วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane seeks reelection in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7. This structural advantage, combined with Crane’s 2024 performance exceeding 54 percent, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders, led by former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, face the July 21, 2026 primary before a November general election in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the positioning, though primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could influence final margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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