The open seat in Arizona’s 1st congressional district, following incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to seek the governorship, has positioned the race as a competitive pickup opportunity for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for July 21, multiple Democratic candidates have entered a crowded field, while Republicans face their own contested primary among several contenders. The district’s narrow partisan lean and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its status as a potential swing seat that could influence House control. Trader consensus, as reflected in current market pricing, assigns the Democratic Party the higher implied probability, consistent with the dynamics of an open seat in a battleground area ahead of the midterms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$175 ปริมาณ
70%
Republican Party
$316 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s 1st congressional district, following incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to seek the governorship, has positioned the race as a competitive pickup opportunity for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for July 21, multiple Democratic candidates have entered a crowded field, while Republicans face their own contested primary among several contenders. The district’s narrow partisan lean and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its status as a potential swing seat that could influence House control. Trader consensus, as reflected in current market pricing, assigns the Democratic Party the higher implied probability, consistent with the dynamics of an open seat in a battleground area ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$490วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s 1st congressional district, following incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to seek the governorship, has positioned the race as a competitive pickup opportunity for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for July 21, multiple Democratic candidates have entered a crowded field, while Republicans face their own contested primary among several contenders. The district’s narrow partisan lean and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its status as a potential swing seat that could influence House control. Trader consensus, as reflected in current market pricing, assigns the Democratic Party the higher implied probability, consistent with the dynamics of an open seat in a battleground area ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$490วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Arizona’s 1st congressional district, following incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to seek the governorship, has positioned the race as a competitive pickup opportunity for Democrats in the November 2026 general election. With primaries scheduled for July 21, multiple Democratic candidates have entered a crowded field, while Republicans face their own contested primary among several contenders. The district’s narrow partisan lean and toss-up ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its status as a potential swing seat that could influence House control. Trader consensus, as reflected in current market pricing, assigns the Democratic Party the higher implied probability, consistent with the dynamics of an open seat in a battleground area ahead of the midterms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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