Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability to retain Florida's 6th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 30 points and prior GOP margins exceeded 25%. Fine's position strengthened last week when leading Democratic fundraiser Jennifer Jenkins withdrew from the primary to run in FL-08 amid redrawn maps, leaving a fragmented field including Eric Yonce and James Stockton with far less cash on hand. Fine leads fundraising with over $762,000 available, despite a crowded GOP primary featuring challenger Dan Bilzerian. Barring a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, scandal, or unexpected Democratic heavyweight by the June 12 filing deadline, traders see scant path for a general election flip ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-06 House Election Winner
FL-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$215 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$271 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability to retain Florida's 6th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 30 points and prior GOP margins exceeded 25%. Fine's position strengthened last week when leading Democratic fundraiser Jennifer Jenkins withdrew from the primary to run in FL-08 amid redrawn maps, leaving a fragmented field including Eric Yonce and James Stockton with far less cash on hand. Fine leads fundraising with over $762,000 available, despite a crowded GOP primary featuring challenger Dan Bilzerian. Barring a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, scandal, or unexpected Democratic heavyweight by the June 12 filing deadline, traders see scant path for a general election flip ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability to retain Florida's 6th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 30 points and prior GOP margins exceeded 25%. Fine's position strengthened last week when leading Democratic fundraiser Jennifer Jenkins withdrew from the primary to run in FL-08 amid redrawn maps, leaving a fragmented field including Eric Yonce and James Stockton with far less cash on hand. Fine leads fundraising with over $762,000 available, despite a crowded GOP primary featuring challenger Dan Bilzerian. Barring a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, scandal, or unexpected Democratic heavyweight by the June 12 filing deadline, traders see scant path for a general election flip ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability to retain Florida's 6th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 30 points and prior GOP margins exceeded 25%. Fine's position strengthened last week when leading Democratic fundraiser Jennifer Jenkins withdrew from the primary to run in FL-08 amid redrawn maps, leaving a fragmented field including Eric Yonce and James Stockton with far less cash on hand. Fine leads fundraising with over $762,000 available, despite a crowded GOP primary featuring challenger Dan Bilzerian. Barring a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, scandal, or unexpected Democratic heavyweight by the June 12 filing deadline, traders see scant path for a general election flip ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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