Wesley Bell holds a 67% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st District because he enters the August 4 primary as the incumbent with a substantial fundraising advantage and key endorsements, including from the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Bell reported nearly $1.24 million cash on hand as of March 2026 compared to Cori Bush's roughly $121,000, building on his 2024 primary victory over the former representative. Recent campaign comparisons have highlighted Bell's stronger congressional voting attendance record. Bush's 32% reflects her established grassroots base and the rematch dynamics in the heavily Democratic district, though lower resources and her prior loss continue to weigh on trader assessments ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
$14,658 ปริมาณ
$14,658 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
67%
Cori Bush
32%
$14,658 ปริมาณ
$14,658 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$8,209 ปริมาณ
67%
Cori Bush
$6,449 ปริมาณ
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Wesley Bell holds a 67% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st District because he enters the August 4 primary as the incumbent with a substantial fundraising advantage and key endorsements, including from the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Bell reported nearly $1.24 million cash on hand as of March 2026 compared to Cori Bush's roughly $121,000, building on his 2024 primary victory over the former representative. Recent campaign comparisons have highlighted Bell's stronger congressional voting attendance record. Bush's 32% reflects her established grassroots base and the rematch dynamics in the heavily Democratic district, though lower resources and her prior loss continue to weigh on trader assessments ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,658วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Wesley Bell holds a 67% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st District because he enters the August 4 primary as the incumbent with a substantial fundraising advantage and key endorsements, including from the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Bell reported nearly $1.24 million cash on hand as of March 2026 compared to Cori Bush's roughly $121,000, building on his 2024 primary victory over the former representative. Recent campaign comparisons have highlighted Bell's stronger congressional voting attendance record. Bush's 32% reflects her established grassroots base and the rematch dynamics in the heavily Democratic district, though lower resources and her prior loss continue to weigh on trader assessments ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,658วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a 67% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st District because he enters the August 4 primary as the incumbent with a substantial fundraising advantage and key endorsements, including from the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Bell reported nearly $1.24 million cash on hand as of March 2026 compared to Cori Bush's roughly $121,000, building on his 2024 primary victory over the former representative. Recent campaign comparisons have highlighted Bell's stronger congressional voting attendance record. Bush's 32% reflects her established grassroots base and the rematch dynamics in the heavily Democratic district, though lower resources and her prior loss continue to weigh on trader assessments ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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