Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite over challenger Cori Bush's 28.5% in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his decisive 2024 primary win and strong incumbency advantage in the plurality-Black St. Louis-anchored district. Recent filings by March 31 confirmed the high-stakes rematch after Bush's October 2025 campaign launch to reclaim the seat she lost amid heavy outside spending. Bell maintains a commanding cash-on-hand lead per latest reports, bolstering his position despite a Bush-commissioned poll claiming a statistical tie among likely Democratic voters; traders emphasize fundraising edges and historical primary dynamics as key ahead of potential debates and endorsements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
71%
Cori Bush
29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$4,296 ปริมาณ
71%
Cori Bush
$4,266 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite over challenger Cori Bush's 28.5% in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his decisive 2024 primary win and strong incumbency advantage in the plurality-Black St. Louis-anchored district. Recent filings by March 31 confirmed the high-stakes rematch after Bush's October 2025 campaign launch to reclaim the seat she lost amid heavy outside spending. Bell maintains a commanding cash-on-hand lead per latest reports, bolstering his position despite a Bush-commissioned poll claiming a statistical tie among likely Democratic voters; traders emphasize fundraising edges and historical primary dynamics as key ahead of potential debates and endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,563วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite over challenger Cori Bush's 28.5% in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his decisive 2024 primary win and strong incumbency advantage in the plurality-Black St. Louis-anchored district. Recent filings by March 31 confirmed the high-stakes rematch after Bush's October 2025 campaign launch to reclaim the seat she lost amid heavy outside spending. Bell maintains a commanding cash-on-hand lead per latest reports, bolstering his position despite a Bush-commissioned poll claiming a statistical tie among likely Democratic voters; traders emphasize fundraising edges and historical primary dynamics as key ahead of potential debates and endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,563วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite over challenger Cori Bush's 28.5% in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his decisive 2024 primary win and strong incumbency advantage in the plurality-Black St. Louis-anchored district. Recent filings by March 31 confirmed the high-stakes rematch after Bush's October 2025 campaign launch to reclaim the seat she lost amid heavy outside spending. Bell maintains a commanding cash-on-hand lead per latest reports, bolstering his position despite a Bush-commissioned poll claiming a statistical tie among likely Democratic voters; traders emphasize fundraising edges and historical primary dynamics as key ahead of potential debates and endorsements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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