Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins of 65 percent or more in recent cycles, including the 67.8 percent victory in 2024. This structural advantage, anchored by strong Democratic performance in Prince George's County and surrounding suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among more than two dozen candidates and the weaker Republican field have not altered the general election outlook. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, post-primary scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate high barriers to such shifts before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$15,921 ปริมาณ
$15,921 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$15,921 ปริมาณ
$15,921 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,513 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$7,408 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins of 65 percent or more in recent cycles, including the 67.8 percent victory in 2024. This structural advantage, anchored by strong Democratic performance in Prince George's County and surrounding suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among more than two dozen candidates and the weaker Republican field have not altered the general election outlook. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, post-primary scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate high barriers to such shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins of 65 percent or more in recent cycles, including the 67.8 percent victory in 2024. This structural advantage, anchored by strong Democratic performance in Prince George's County and surrounding suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among more than two dozen candidates and the weaker Republican field have not altered the general election outlook. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, post-primary scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate high barriers to such shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and has delivered consistent Democratic general election margins of 65 percent or more in recent cycles, including the 67.8 percent victory in 2024. This structural advantage, anchored by strong Democratic performance in Prince George's County and surrounding suburbs, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among more than two dozen candidates and the weaker Republican field have not altered the general election outlook. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, post-primary scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate high barriers to such shifts before November 2026.
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