Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner in the November 2026 midterm elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, igniting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring over 20 candidates including Rushern Baker III and Harry Dunn, while Republicans field a weak trio led by prior nominee Michelle Talkington. Recent April fundraising reports reveal millions in Democratic spending, reinforcing the district's history of 65-68% Democratic general election margins. Upsets would require a national Republican wave, a flawed Democratic nominee, or unforeseen scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,321 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$869 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner in the November 2026 midterm elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, igniting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring over 20 candidates including Rushern Baker III and Harry Dunn, while Republicans field a weak trio led by prior nominee Michelle Talkington. Recent April fundraising reports reveal millions in Democratic spending, reinforcing the district's history of 65-68% Democratic general election margins. Upsets would require a national Republican wave, a flawed Democratic nominee, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,189วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner in the November 2026 midterm elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, igniting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring over 20 candidates including Rushern Baker III and Harry Dunn, while Republicans field a weak trio led by prior nominee Michelle Talkington. Recent April fundraising reports reveal millions in Democratic spending, reinforcing the district's history of 65-68% Democratic general election margins. Upsets would require a national Republican wave, a flawed Democratic nominee, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,189วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner in the November 2026 midterm elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, igniting a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 featuring over 20 candidates including Rushern Baker III and Harry Dunn, while Republicans field a weak trio led by prior nominee Michelle Talkington. Recent April fundraising reports reveal millions in Democratic spending, reinforcing the district's history of 65-68% Democratic general election margins. Upsets would require a national Republican wave, a flawed Democratic nominee, or unforeseen scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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