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Venezuela polymarkets
Venezuela
Maduro out by...?
$28m Vol.
$513k today
$509k Liq.
1,751
Ends in about 1 year
56%
December 31, 2026
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$41m Vol.
$285k today
$202k Liq.
3,956
Ends in 3 months
52%
March 31, 2026
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
$4m Vol.
$181k today
$211k Liq.
62
Ends in 12 days
84%
No Engagement in 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$2m Vol.
$78.9k today
$96.6k Liq.
73
15%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
$396k Vol.
$77.3k today
$112k Liq.
25
Ends in 6 months
12%
June 30, 2026
What will Trump say at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?
$79.5k Vol.
$59.9k today
$36.4k Liq.
13
2%
Drug / Cartel 3+ times
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
$363k Vol.
$13.7k Liq.
64
29%
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$16.5k Liq.
48
27%
March 31
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
$58.2k Vol.
$11.2k Liq.
5%
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?
$7.6k Vol.
$7.0k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
40%
January 31, 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$275k Vol.
$11.3k Liq.
18
96%
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
$177k Vol.
$33.9k Liq.
1
1%
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$121k Vol.
$2.5k Liq.
40
18%
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
$86.5k Vol.
$9.0k Liq.
23
13%
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?
$54.6k Vol.
$21.1k Liq.
3
<1%
Venezuela Parlay
$27.7k Vol.
$6.8k Liq.
6
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?
$52.2k Vol.
$4.4k Liq.
3%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
$25.0k Vol.
$4.6k Liq.
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
$52.4k Vol.
$4.8k Liq.
34%
Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?
$25.7k Vol.
$10.4k Liq.
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