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Venezuela polymarkets
Venezuela
Maduro out by...?
$29m Vol.
$625k today
$476k Liq.
1,762
Ends in about 1 year
53%
December 31, 2026
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$41m Vol.
$262k today
$123k Liq.
3,979
Ends in 3 months
52%
March 31, 2026
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
$4m Vol.
$172k today
$208k Liq.
63
Ends in 11 days
86%
No Engagement in 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$2m Vol.
$69.6k today
$97.5k Liq.
73
15%
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
$402k Vol.
$56.7k today
$15.2k Liq.
68
33%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
$424k Vol.
$96.9k Liq.
26
Ends in 6 months
12%
June 30, 2026
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$11.3k Liq.
48
31%
March 31
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$284k Vol.
$8.9k Liq.
19
95%
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by...?
$9.8k Vol.
$5.1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
40%
January 31, 2026
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
$180k Vol.
$30.0k Liq.
1
1%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
$60.4k Vol.
$6.6k Liq.
4%
Venezuela Parlay
$28.3k Vol.
6
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
$88.8k Vol.
$7.2k Liq.
23
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?
$56.1k Vol.
$21.0k Liq.
3
<1%
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$122k Vol.
$3.0k Liq.
40
16%
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?
$52.6k Vol.
$4.0k Liq.
3%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
$52.5k Vol.
$5.0k Liq.
34%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
$25.1k Vol.
$4.3k Liq.
6%
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?
$73.5k Vol.
$9.8k Liq.
5
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
$2.7k Vol.
$2.9k Liq.
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