U.S. national average gasoline prices surged to $4.02 per gallon by March 31, 2026, per AAA data—the resolution source for this market—driven by geopolitical risk premiums from the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, including Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4 that stranded exports and propelled WTI crude above $101/bbl. Refining crack spreads widened amid supply disruptions, amplifying retail impacts despite steady domestic inventories. Month-over-month, prices jumped over 35% from $2.98, reflecting trader consensus on persistent Middle East tensions outweighing seasonal demand softness. With resolution imminent, watch EIA's April 7 weekly report for confirmatory data and potential volatility from de-escalation signals or OPEC+ responses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$637,136 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
↑ $5.00
<1%
↑ $4.50
<1%
↑ $4,25
<1%
↓ $3,15
<1%
↓ $3,10
<1%
↓ $3,05
<1%
↓ $3.00
<1%
$637,136 Объем
↑ $5.00
$96,399 Объем
<1%
↑ $4.50
$118,763 Объем
<1%
↑ $4,25
$65,704 Объем
<1%
↓ $3,15
$31,834 Объем
<1%
↓ $3,10
$43,650 Объем
<1%
↓ $3,05
$176,429 Объем
<1%
↓ $3.00
$30,524 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged to $4.02 per gallon by March 31, 2026, per AAA data—the resolution source for this market—driven by geopolitical risk premiums from the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, including Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4 that stranded exports and propelled WTI crude above $101/bbl. Refining crack spreads widened amid supply disruptions, amplifying retail impacts despite steady domestic inventories. Month-over-month, prices jumped over 35% from $2.98, reflecting trader consensus on persistent Middle East tensions outweighing seasonal demand softness. With resolution imminent, watch EIA's April 7 weekly report for confirmatory data and potential volatility from de-escalation signals or OPEC+ responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Объем
$637,136Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged to $4.02 per gallon by March 31, 2026, per AAA data—the resolution source for this market—driven by geopolitical risk premiums from the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, including Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4 that stranded exports and propelled WTI crude above $101/bbl. Refining crack spreads widened amid supply disruptions, amplifying retail impacts despite steady domestic inventories. Month-over-month, prices jumped over 35% from $2.98, reflecting trader consensus on persistent Middle East tensions outweighing seasonal demand softness. With resolution imminent, watch EIA's April 7 weekly report for confirmatory data and potential volatility from de-escalation signals or OPEC+ responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Объем
$637,136Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. national average gasoline prices surged to $4.02 per gallon by March 31, 2026, per AAA data—the resolution source for this market—driven by geopolitical risk premiums from the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, including Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4 that stranded exports and propelled WTI crude above $101/bbl. Refining crack spreads widened amid supply disruptions, amplifying retail impacts despite steady domestic inventories. Month-over-month, prices jumped over 35% from $2.98, reflecting trader consensus on persistent Middle East tensions outweighing seasonal demand softness. With resolution imminent, watch EIA's April 7 weekly report for confirmatory data and potential volatility from de-escalation signals or OPEC+ responses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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