Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez's dominant fundraising—$3.2 million raised and $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 75% in the WA-03 House race, reflecting her incumbency edge in this R+2 district Trump carried in 2024. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun leads Republican challengers with $839,000 raised, but the field includes multiple GOP candidates ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary, fragmenting votes. Cook Political Report's March 12 Toss Up rating underscores competitiveness, yet no recent polls exist, and Perez's moderate appeal to working-class voters in past narrow wins sustains her lead over GOP efforts to flip the seat. General election follows November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-03
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
74%
Республиканская партия
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
74%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez's dominant fundraising—$3.2 million raised and $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 75% in the WA-03 House race, reflecting her incumbency edge in this R+2 district Trump carried in 2024. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun leads Republican challengers with $839,000 raised, but the field includes multiple GOP candidates ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary, fragmenting votes. Cook Political Report's March 12 Toss Up rating underscores competitiveness, yet no recent polls exist, and Perez's moderate appeal to working-class voters in past narrow wins sustains her lead over GOP efforts to flip the seat. General election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez's dominant fundraising—$3.2 million raised and $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 75% in the WA-03 House race, reflecting her incumbency edge in this R+2 district Trump carried in 2024. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun leads Republican challengers with $839,000 raised, but the field includes multiple GOP candidates ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary, fragmenting votes. Cook Political Report's March 12 Toss Up rating underscores competitiveness, yet no recent polls exist, and Perez's moderate appeal to working-class voters in past narrow wins sustains her lead over GOP efforts to flip the seat. General election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez's dominant fundraising—$3.2 million raised and $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 75% in the WA-03 House race, reflecting her incumbency edge in this R+2 district Trump carried in 2024. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun leads Republican challengers with $839,000 raised, but the field includes multiple GOP candidates ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary, fragmenting votes. Cook Political Report's March 12 Toss Up rating underscores competitiveness, yet no recent polls exist, and Perez's moderate appeal to working-class voters in past narrow wins sustains her lead over GOP efforts to flip the seat. General election follows November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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