Trader consensus gives the Republican Party a 76% implied probability of retaining New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Rep. Jeff Van Drew's proven electoral strength and the district's Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by 13 points. No public polling exists yet for the 2026 cycle, but Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, citing limited vulnerability absent a major national wave. Recent Democratic primary activity includes Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock raising $200,000 shortly after announcing in late February amid a fragmented field of challengers, though filings closed March 23 without a standout nominee emerging. Primaries are June 2, with the general election November 3; odds reflect incumbency edge and fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNJ-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
76%
Демократическая партия
24%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
76%
Демократическая партия
$1,558 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives the Republican Party a 76% implied probability of retaining New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Rep. Jeff Van Drew's proven electoral strength and the district's Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by 13 points. No public polling exists yet for the 2026 cycle, but Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, citing limited vulnerability absent a major national wave. Recent Democratic primary activity includes Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock raising $200,000 shortly after announcing in late February amid a fragmented field of challengers, though filings closed March 23 without a standout nominee emerging. Primaries are June 2, with the general election November 3; odds reflect incumbency edge and fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$1,558Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives the Republican Party a 76% implied probability of retaining New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Rep. Jeff Van Drew's proven electoral strength and the district's Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by 13 points. No public polling exists yet for the 2026 cycle, but Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, citing limited vulnerability absent a major national wave. Recent Democratic primary activity includes Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock raising $200,000 shortly after announcing in late February amid a fragmented field of challengers, though filings closed March 23 without a standout nominee emerging. Primaries are June 2, with the general election November 3; odds reflect incumbency edge and fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,558Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives the Republican Party a 76% implied probability of retaining New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District House seat, anchored by incumbent Rep. Jeff Van Drew's proven electoral strength and the district's Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by 13 points. No public polling exists yet for the 2026 cycle, but Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, citing limited vulnerability absent a major national wave. Recent Democratic primary activity includes Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock raising $200,000 shortly after announcing in late February amid a fragmented field of challengers, though filings closed March 23 without a standout nominee emerging. Primaries are June 2, with the general election November 3; odds reflect incumbency edge and fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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