Trader consensus favors Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by anticipation of a Democratic-proposed congressional redistricting map that would transform VA-01 into a competitive or favorable district. The constitutional amendment enabling legislative redistricting advanced by Democrats post-2025 elections—where Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried the district—heads to a special April 21 vote, with prediction markets implying 76-85% passage odds despite recent early voting surges in Republican-leaning areas urging a "no" vote. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary field, while Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican under current lines. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of summer primaries and the November general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-01
$12,853 Объем
$12,853 Объем
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
30%
Демократическая партия
61%
$12,853 Объем
$12,853 Объем
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
$297 Объем
30%
Демократическая партия
$12,556 Объем
61%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by anticipation of a Democratic-proposed congressional redistricting map that would transform VA-01 into a competitive or favorable district. The constitutional amendment enabling legislative redistricting advanced by Democrats post-2025 elections—where Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried the district—heads to a special April 21 vote, with prediction markets implying 76-85% passage odds despite recent early voting surges in Republican-leaning areas urging a "no" vote. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary field, while Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican under current lines. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of summer primaries and the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$12,853Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by anticipation of a Democratic-proposed congressional redistricting map that would transform VA-01 into a competitive or favorable district. The constitutional amendment enabling legislative redistricting advanced by Democrats post-2025 elections—where Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried the district—heads to a special April 21 vote, with prediction markets implying 76-85% passage odds despite recent early voting surges in Republican-leaning areas urging a "no" vote. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary field, while Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican under current lines. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of summer primaries and the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,853Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by anticipation of a Democratic-proposed congressional redistricting map that would transform VA-01 into a competitive or favorable district. The constitutional amendment enabling legislative redistricting advanced by Democrats post-2025 elections—where Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried the district—heads to a special April 21 vote, with prediction markets implying 76-85% passage odds despite recent early voting surges in Republican-leaning areas urging a "no" vote. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) seeks reelection amid a crowded Democratic primary field, while Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican under current lines. Filing deadline looms May 26 ahead of summer primaries and the November general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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