Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$132,167,239 Объем

Jan 31, 2026

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$132,167,239
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Создано
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$132,167,239 Объем

31 января

$34,043,262 Объем

5%

1 февраля

$736,197 Объем

10%

2 февраля

$208,026 Объем

14%

3 февраля

$58,980 Объем

16%

4 февраля

$59,374 Объем

19%

5 февраля

$82,688 Объем

20%

6 февраля

$1,603,063 Объем

25%

13 февраля

$1,095,994 Объем

42%

28 февраля

$4,330,674 Объем

57%

31 марта

$4,296,371 Объем

66%

30 июня

$2,323,438 Объем

72%

О событии

Объем
$132,167,239
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Создано
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.