US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 49%
January 2026 12%
February 1 4.9%
February 4 3.5%
$228,119 Объем
$228,119 Объем
January 2026
$11,676 Объем
12%
January 2026
$11,676 Объем
12%
February 1
$13,744 Объем
5%
February 1
$13,744 Объем
5%
February 2
$9,091 Объем
3%
February 2
$9,091 Объем
3%
February 3
$7,258 Объем
2%
February 3
$7,258 Объем
2%
February 4
$8,498 Объем
3%
February 4
$8,498 Объем
3%
February 5
$8,245 Объем
2%
February 5
$8,245 Объем
2%
February 6
$7,226 Объем
3%
February 6
$7,226 Объем
3%
February 7
$7,523 Объем
3%
February 7
$7,523 Объем
3%
February 8
$6,721 Объем
1%
February 8
$6,721 Объем
1%
February 9
$6,661 Объем
1%
February 9
$6,661 Объем
1%
February 10
$7,330 Объем
1%
February 10
$7,330 Объем
1%
February 11
$6,821 Объем
1%
February 11
$6,821 Объем
1%
February 12
$11,180 Объем
2%
February 12
$11,180 Объем
2%
February 13
$9,355 Объем
2%
February 13
$9,355 Объем
2%
February 14
$7,302 Объем
2%
February 14
$7,302 Объем
2%
February 15
$6,174 Объем
1%
February 15
$6,174 Объем
1%
February 16
$6,199 Объем
1%
February 16
$6,199 Объем
1%
February 17
$5,950 Объем
1%
February 17
$5,950 Объем
1%
February 18
$6,241 Объем
1%
February 18
$6,241 Объем
1%
February 19
$6,652 Объем
1%
February 19
$6,652 Объем
1%
February 20
$5,856 Объем
1%
February 20
$5,856 Объем
1%
February 21
$7,338 Объем
2%
February 21
$7,338 Объем
2%
February 22
$6,143 Объем
<1%
February 22
$6,143 Объем
<1%
February 23
$5,408 Объем
1%
February 23
$5,408 Объем
1%
February 24
$5,755 Объем
1%
February 24
$5,755 Объем
1%
February 25
$5,685 Объем
<1%
February 25
$5,685 Объем
<1%
February 26
$6,925 Объем
1%
February 26
$6,925 Объем
1%
February 27
$6,915 Объем
1%
February 27
$6,915 Объем
1%
February 28
$7,883 Объем
2%
February 28
$7,883 Объем
2%
No strike by February 28
$10,366 Объем
49%
No strike by February 28
$10,366 Объем
49%
Правила
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Создано: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 49%
January 2026 12%
February 1 4.9%
February 4 3.5%
$228,119 Объем
$228,119 Объем
January 2026
12%
February 1
5%
February 2
3%
February 3
2%
February 4
3%
February 5
2%
February 6
3%
February 7
3%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
2%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
<1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
<1%
February 26
1%
February 27
1%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
49%
О событии
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.
Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.