The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to the Gaza conflict. No enforcement has occurred despite the warrant, as Netanyahu has traveled to non-ICC member states like the United States and visited ICC member Hungary without detention. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including President Trump, affirmed that Netanyahu would face no arrest during a planned September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York, where the city mayor reviewed but rejected local authority to act on the ICC request due to U.S. non-membership and head-of-state immunity principles. Trader sentiment reflects these enforcement barriers, with scheduled diplomatic travel and limited state cooperation as primary variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$19,038 Объем
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
$19,038 Объем
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in November 2024 on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to the Gaza conflict. No enforcement has occurred despite the warrant, as Netanyahu has traveled to non-ICC member states like the United States and visited ICC member Hungary without detention. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including President Trump, affirmed that Netanyahu would face no arrest during a planned September 2026 UN General Assembly visit to New York, where the city mayor reviewed but rejected local authority to act on the ICC request due to U.S. non-membership and head-of-state immunity principles. Trader sentiment reflects these enforcement barriers, with scheduled diplomatic travel and limited state cooperation as primary variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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