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Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

icon for Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

$1,525,250 Объем

31 мая 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,525,250 Объем

Polymarket

31 мая

$296,462 Объем

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since assuming Iran's Supreme Leader role on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei—a historically reclusive cleric with few prior public recordings—has made no verified public appearance, fueling death, injury, and incapacity rumors amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and a recent ceasefire. State media has issued written statements attributed to him and aired archival footage, while a Russian envoy cited "understandable reasons" for his absence in late March. Today, President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a private meeting, affirming his health, but no photos or videos emerged. Traders watch for potential escalation signals, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could prompt a debut before market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,525,250
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since assuming Iran's Supreme Leader role on March 8, 2026, following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei—a historically reclusive cleric with few prior public recordings—has made no verified public appearance, fueling death, injury, and incapacity rumors amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and a recent ceasefire. State media has issued written statements attributed to him and aired archival footage, while a Russian envoy cited "understandable reasons" for his absence in late March. Today, President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a private meeting, affirming his health, but no photos or videos emerged. Traders watch for potential escalation signals, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could prompt a debut before market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,525,250
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 мая» с 14%, за ним следует «13 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.5 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — «31 мая» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.