Skip to main content
icon for Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

icon for Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

$1,697,909 Объем

31 мая 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,697,909 Объем

Polymarket

31 мая

$442,453 Объем

1%

June 30

$26,669 Объем

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued multiple statements since his appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader following the death of his father Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, yet none have included video or audio confirmation of his presence. Iranian state media has read these messages aloud or shared them via text, including a detailed May 26 declaration rejecting U.S. military bases in the region amid ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May highlight persistent questions over his health, location, and direct involvement in governance, with no verified public sightings or appearances recorded in the three months since he assumed the role. This pattern of remote communication amid regional tensions and leadership transition shapes trader assessments of near-term visibility. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and potential state events through June could provide opportunities for an appearance, though procedural and security considerations may influence timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,697,909
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued multiple statements since his appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader following the death of his father Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, yet none have included video or audio confirmation of his presence. Iranian state media has read these messages aloud or shared them via text, including a detailed May 26 declaration rejecting U.S. military bases in the region amid ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May highlight persistent questions over his health, location, and direct involvement in governance, with no verified public sightings or appearances recorded in the three months since he assumed the role. This pattern of remote communication amid regional tensions and leadership transition shapes trader assessments of near-term visibility. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and potential state events through June could provide opportunities for an appearance, though procedural and security considerations may influence timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,697,909
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «June 30» с 14%, за ним следует «31 мая» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.7 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — «June 30» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 мая» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.