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Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

Market icon
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

$748,651 Объем

31 мар. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$748,651 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$611,488 Объем

<1%

April 30

$131,512 Объем

23%

31 мая

$5,652 Объем

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since early March 2026, when Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in US-Israeli airstrikes, his son Mojtaba has been named Iran's new Supreme Leader but remains unseen in any verified public appearance or live footage post-appointment. Iranian state media has aired only written statements read aloud—such as calls for military resistance on March 12—and archival videos of him lecturing on Shia theology around March 19-20, amid unconfirmed rumors of his injury, coma, or disfigurement from the strikes. Officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he is in excellent health and directing affairs, yet the lack of visual confirmation fuels trader skepticism in this ongoing regional conflict. No major developments in the past week; upcoming escalations or diplomatic moves could prompt an emergence before April's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$748,651
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since early March 2026, when Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in US-Israeli airstrikes, his son Mojtaba has been named Iran's new Supreme Leader but remains unseen in any verified public appearance or live footage post-appointment. Iranian state media has aired only written statements read aloud—such as calls for military resistance on March 12—and archival videos of him lecturing on Shia theology around March 19-20, amid unconfirmed rumors of his injury, coma, or disfigurement from the strikes. Officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he is in excellent health and directing affairs, yet the lack of visual confirmation fuels trader skepticism in this ongoing regional conflict. No major developments in the past week; upcoming escalations or diplomatic moves could prompt an emergence before April's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$748,651
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 мая» с 39%, за ним следует «April 30» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $748.7K с момента запуска рынка Mar 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — «31 мая» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «April 30» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.