Ongoing US-brokered negotiations between the Israeli and Lebanese governments center on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon in exchange for Lebanese army control and Hezbollah disarmament, a core sticking point. Direct talks began in April 2026 after a brief cessation of hostilities, with multiple rounds held in Washington and Rome, including a seventh round in early August focused on “pilot zones.” Hezbollah has rejected framework agreements conditioning full Israeli pullback on its disarmament and has continued limited attacks, prompting Israeli strikes. These dynamics, alongside periodic ceasefire extensions and violations, shape trader views on whether formal diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah itself can occur within any resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИзраиль x Хезболла дипломатическая встреча...?
Израиль x Хезболла дипломатическая встреча...?
$93,716 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
31 августа
1%
$93,716 Объем
31 августа
$86,351 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-brokered negotiations between the Israeli and Lebanese governments center on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon in exchange for Lebanese army control and Hezbollah disarmament, a core sticking point. Direct talks began in April 2026 after a brief cessation of hostilities, with multiple rounds held in Washington and Rome, including a seventh round in early August focused on “pilot zones.” Hezbollah has rejected framework agreements conditioning full Israeli pullback on its disarmament and has continued limited attacks, prompting Israeli strikes. These dynamics, alongside periodic ceasefire extensions and violations, shape trader views on whether formal diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah itself can occur within any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Объем
$93,716Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-brokered negotiations between the Israeli and Lebanese governments center on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon in exchange for Lebanese army control and Hezbollah disarmament, a core sticking point. Direct talks began in April 2026 after a brief cessation of hostilities, with multiple rounds held in Washington and Rome, including a seventh round in early August focused on “pilot zones.” Hezbollah has rejected framework agreements conditioning full Israeli pullback on its disarmament and has continued limited attacks, prompting Israeli strikes. These dynamics, alongside periodic ceasefire extensions and violations, shape trader views on whether formal diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah itself can occur within any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$93,716Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-brokered negotiations between the Israeli and Lebanese governments center on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon in exchange for Lebanese army control and Hezbollah disarmament, a core sticking point. Direct talks began in April 2026 after a brief cessation of hostilities, with multiple rounds held in Washington and Rome, including a seventh round in early August focused on “pilot zones.” Hezbollah has rejected framework agreements conditioning full Israeli pullback on its disarmament and has continued limited attacks, prompting Israeli strikes. These dynamics, alongside periodic ceasefire extensions and violations, shape trader views on whether formal diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah itself can occur within any resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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