Market icon
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jun 30

$323,836,685 Объем

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$323,836,685
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 2, 2026, 12:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jun 30

$323,836,685 Объем

Polymarket

20 февраля

$11,984,961 Объем

2%

21 февраля

$2,587,404 Объем

5%

22 февраля

$1,998,220 Объем

8%

23 февраля

$845,709 Объем

11%

24 февраля

$611,615 Объем

12%

25 февраля

$477,257 Объем

15%

26 февраля

$706,559 Объем

18%

27 февраля

$819,270 Объем

23%

28 февраля

$30,108,342 Объем

27%

1 марта

$58,997 Объем

30%

2 марта

$14,182 Объем

32%

3 марта

$9,154 Объем

33%

4 марта

$10,200 Объем

34%

5 марта

$11,956 Объем

35%

6 марта

$24,182 Объем

37%

7 марта

$29,216 Объем

41%

15 марта

$1,925,925 Объем

51%

31 марта

$12,228,032 Объем

61%

30 июня

$6,641,727 Объем

68%

31 декабря

$297,038 Объем

76%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.