Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 73.5% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election victory, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage and recent polling dominance. A March 10 Liaison Strategies survey showed her leading challengers 44% to Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16% in a crowded field, with her approval holding steady at 55% per February data. John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback, followed by Michael Ford's withdrawal on April 2 after family consultations, has cleared the path by sidelining high-profile alternatives. Bradford at 11.5% emerges as the primary contender among remaining candidates like Ana Bailão, with nominations opening May 1 potentially solidifying the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоOlivia Chow 74%
Brad Bradford 12%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.8%

Olivia Chow
74%

Brad Bradford
12%

Ana Bailão
6%

John Tory
3%

Michael Ford
3%

Anthony Furey
2%

Kevin Clarke
2%

Marco Mendicino
2%
Olivia Chow 74%
Brad Bradford 12%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.8%

Olivia Chow
74%

Brad Bradford
12%

Ana Bailão
6%

John Tory
3%

Michael Ford
3%

Anthony Furey
2%

Kevin Clarke
2%

Marco Mendicino
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 73.5% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election victory, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage and recent polling dominance. A March 10 Liaison Strategies survey showed her leading challengers 44% to Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16% in a crowded field, with her approval holding steady at 55% per February data. John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback, followed by Michael Ford's withdrawal on April 2 after family consultations, has cleared the path by sidelining high-profile alternatives. Bradford at 11.5% emerges as the primary contender among remaining candidates like Ana Bailão, with nominations opening May 1 potentially solidifying the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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