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Политика·Конгресс

Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом

Market icon
Политика·Конгресс

Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом

Мэнафи 15%+ 100.0%

Менефи 10–15% <1%

Менефи 5–10% <1%

Менефи 0–5% <1%

Polymarket

$26,257 Объем

Мэнафи 15%+ 100.0%

Менефи 10–15% <1%

Менефи 5–10% <1%

Менефи 0–5% <1%

Polymarket

$26,257 Объем

Market icon

Мэнафи 15%+

$22,335 Объем

Да

Market icon

Менефи 10–15%

$975 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Менефи 5–10%

$297 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Менефи 0–5%

$308 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Эдвардс 0–5%

$1,043 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Эдвардс 5%+

$1,299 Объем

Нет

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$26,257
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$26,257
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Texas House special election runoff for Texas’s 18th Congressional District is scheduled to be held on January 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas House special election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мэнафи 15%+» с 100%, за ним следует «Менефи 10–15%» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $26.3K с момента запуска рынка Jan 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом» — «Мэнафи 15%+» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Менефи 10–15%» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Особый край победы во втором туре выборов в Техасский дом» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.