Name: Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Start: 2024-12-11T00:27:17.772576Z
End: 2025-05-04T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the winner of the first round of the Romanian elections.

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Simion receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

George Simion

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Călin Georgescu receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Călin Georgescu

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elena Lasconi receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Elena Lasconi 

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mircea Geoanăi receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Mircea Geoană

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicușor Dan receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Nicușor Dan

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolae Ciucă receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Nicolae Ciucă 

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marcel Ciolacu receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Marcel Ciolacu 

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Crin Antonescu receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Crin Antonescu

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anton Pisaroglu receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Anton Pisaroglu

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Ponta receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Victor Ponta

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Funeriu receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Daniel Funeriu

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than any of the named candidates receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Other

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Выиграет ли Илияна Йотова следующие президентские выборы в Болгарии?

The first round of the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election is scheduled for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage in the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election, calculated as the total number of votes received (“votos recibidos”) divided by the total electorate (“electorado”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Costa Rica Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Будет ли явка в первом туре президентских выборов в Коста-Рике 2026 года в пределах от 62% до 64%?

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
 
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the second round of the Portuguese Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Выиграет ли Антониу Жозе Сегуру второй тур с отрывом в 20–30%?

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Costa Rican Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Выиграет ли Антониу Жозе Сегуро президентские выборы Португалии в 2026 году?

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votantes” divided by “Total inscritos”

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by May 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.  

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Выиграет ли Иван Сепеда Кастро первый тур президентских выборов в Колумбии 2026 года?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. 

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Получит ли партия "ТИСА – Партия уважения и свободы" (TISZA) наибольшее количество мест на следующих парламентских выборах в Венгрии?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Колумбии?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Победит ли Рэнди Фенстра на праймериз Республиканской партии штата Айова на выборах губернатора в 2026 году?

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Выиграет ли Лаура Вирджиния Фернандес Дельгадо выборы президента Коста-Рики 2026 года?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. 

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Сможет ли Джордан Барделла победить на президентских выборах во Франции в 2027 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Эшли Хинсон кандидатом в Сенат от республиканцев в Айове?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джо Митчелл республиканским кандидатом от округа IA-02?

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. 

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Получит ли Jaunā Vienotība (JV) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Сейм Латвии в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Майк Коллинз кандидатом в Сенат от Республиканской партии в Джорджии?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Выиграет ли Фернандо Диас да Коста президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау 2025 года?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джейсон Дьюи кандидатом в Конгресс от республиканцев по округу AZ-01?

The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.

If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).

Получит ли Движение Единых Сердец наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики в 2025 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Майк Роджерс праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах в Сенат США от штата Мичиган?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джек Эллисон республиканским кандидатом от SC-01?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Флориды в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Берт Джонс праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах губернатора Джорджии в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Фил Скотт праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах губернатора Вермонта в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джон Картер кандидатом в губернаторы от республиканцев по округу TX-31?

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Vidbir 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Vidbir 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Vidbir rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/), including live footage of Vidbir 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Выиграет ли Джерри Хейл отбор 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Выиграют ли демократы губернаторские выборы в Айове в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Эшли Б. Муди кандидатом от республиканцев в Сенат от Флориды?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Рэймонд МакКэй кандидатом в сенат от Республиканской партии в Род-Айленде?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Победит ли Роб Сэнд на выборах губернатора Айовы от Демократической партии в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Джош Турек кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Айовы?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from French Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Сумеет ли ПСЖ победить в Лиге 1 Франции в сезоне 2025–26?

Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Брюс Блэйкман праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах губернатора Нью-Йорка в 2026 году?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Serie A.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Выиграет ли Интер чемпионат Серии А сезона 2025–26?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Займет ли Джон Корнин второе место на праймериз Республиканской партии Техаса в 2026 году?

Elections for the autonomous community of Aragon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cortes of Aragon as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Выиграют ли демократы гонку за пост губернатора Джорджии в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Роберт Раймондо праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах губернатора Род-Айленда 2026 года?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джастин Стори кандидатом в Республиканской партии по округу FL-09?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. 

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Выиграют ли демократы губернаторские выборы в Аризоне в 2026 году?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate are scheduled to take place in Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)

Выиграет ли ХДС большинство мест на парламентских выборах в Рейнланд-Пфальце в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Станет ли Дэвид Уильямс кандидатом в Сенат от республиканцев в Виргинии?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Выиграет ли Джей Ди Вэнс номинацию кандидата в президенты от Республиканской партии на выборах 2028 года?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Победит ли Джон Джеймс на праймериз Республиканской партии на пост губернатора Мичигана в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina.

If no 2026 North Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". This market includes any potential runoff election.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the North Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

George Simion
$1,857,159 Объем
Yes

Călin Georgescu
$434,908 Объем
No

Elena Lasconi
$599,136 Объем
No

Mircea Geoană
$150,329 Объем
No

Nicușor Dan
$637,164 Объем
No

Nicolae Ciucă
$395,500 Объем
No

Marcel Ciolacu
$460,971 Объем
No

Crin Antonescu
$519,904 Объем
No

Anton Pisaroglu
$101,129 Объем
No

Victor Ponta
$227,770 Объем
No

Daniel Funeriu
$11,913 Объем
No

Other
$77,154 Объем
No

Контекст Рынка

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Правила

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Контекст Рынка

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

О событии

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

George Simion$1,857,159 ОбъемYes

Călin Georgescu$434,908 ОбъемNo

Elena Lasconi $599,136 ОбъемNo

Mircea Geoană$150,329 ОбъемNo

Nicușor Dan$637,164 ОбъемNo

Nicolae Ciucă $395,500 ОбъемNo

Marcel Ciolacu $460,971 ОбъемNo

Crin Antonescu$519,904 ОбъемNo

Anton Pisaroglu$101,129 ОбъемNo

Victor Ponta$227,770 ОбъемNo

Daniel Funeriu$11,913 ОбъемNo

Other$77,154 ОбъемNo

Контекст Рынка

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Правила

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Контекст Рынка

Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner?

О событии

George Simion
$1,857,159 Объем
Yes

Călin Georgescu
$434,908 Объем
No

Elena Lasconi
$599,136 Объем
No

Mircea Geoană
$150,329 Объем
No

Nicușor Dan
$637,164 Объем
No

Nicolae Ciucă
$395,500 Объем
No

Marcel Ciolacu
$460,971 Объем
No

Crin Antonescu
$519,904 Объем
No

Anton Pisaroglu
$101,129 Объем
No

Victor Ponta
$227,770 Объем
No

Daniel Funeriu
$11,913 Объем
No

Other
$77,154 Объем
No