Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed's bid for an eighth term anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-blue electorate where no Republican has won since 2006 and Reed secured 71% in 2020. With primaries set for September 8 and filing deadline June 24, Reed faces token primary opposition from Connor Burbridge, while no prominent Republican challengers have emerged. Absent recent polls, odds align with historical incumbency advantages and base rates in safely Democratic seats like Rhode Island's Class 1 position. Realistic shifts would require Reed's withdrawal due to health or scandal at age 77, a star GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Род-Айленда
Победитель выборов в Сенат Род-Айленда
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
93%
Республиканец
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$4,043 Объем
93%
Республиканец
$1,916 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed's bid for an eighth term anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-blue electorate where no Republican has won since 2006 and Reed secured 71% in 2020. With primaries set for September 8 and filing deadline June 24, Reed faces token primary opposition from Connor Burbridge, while no prominent Republican challengers have emerged. Absent recent polls, odds align with historical incumbency advantages and base rates in safely Democratic seats like Rhode Island's Class 1 position. Realistic shifts would require Reed's withdrawal due to health or scandal at age 77, a star GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$5,960Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed's bid for an eighth term anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-blue electorate where no Republican has won since 2006 and Reed secured 71% in 2020. With primaries set for September 8 and filing deadline June 24, Reed faces token primary opposition from Connor Burbridge, while no prominent Republican challengers have emerged. Absent recent polls, odds align with historical incumbency advantages and base rates in safely Democratic seats like Rhode Island's Class 1 position. Realistic shifts would require Reed's withdrawal due to health or scandal at age 77, a star GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$5,960Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed's bid for an eighth term anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-blue electorate where no Republican has won since 2006 and Reed secured 71% in 2020. With primaries set for September 8 and filing deadline June 24, Reed faces token primary opposition from Connor Burbridge, while no prominent Republican challengers have emerged. Absent recent polls, odds align with historical incumbency advantages and base rates in safely Democratic seats like Rhode Island's Class 1 position. Realistic shifts would require Reed's withdrawal due to health or scandal at age 77, a star GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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