Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon's 4th congressional district. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, consistent with its recent history of Democratic performance. Primary results and fundraising patterns show limited Republican momentum, reinforcing trader consensus that the Democratic Party holds an overwhelming advantage heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$10,704 Объем
$10,704 Объем
Демократическая партия
88%
Республиканская партия
8%
$10,704 Объем
$10,704 Объем
Демократическая партия
88%
Республиканская партия
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon's 4th congressional district. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, consistent with its recent history of Democratic performance. Primary results and fundraising patterns show limited Republican momentum, reinforcing trader consensus that the Democratic Party holds an overwhelming advantage heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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