The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$1,959 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$7,519 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$9,478Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,478Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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