Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and 72% Republican presidential support in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, reinforced by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's declared re-election bid after landslide victories (74-78% margins in recent generals) and $813,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Weak opposition includes underfunded Democratic primary candidate Jules Roberson, Republican challenger Michael DiMario, and independent Rebekah LaVann, amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Filing deadline looms April 3, followed by June 16 primaries; odds could shift via rare GOP primary upset, Lucas withdrawal from scandal or health issues, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
Победитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
$31,939 Объем
$31,939 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$31,939 Объем
$31,939 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$18,759 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$13,179 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and 72% Republican presidential support in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, reinforced by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's declared re-election bid after landslide victories (74-78% margins in recent generals) and $813,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Weak opposition includes underfunded Democratic primary candidate Jules Roberson, Republican challenger Michael DiMario, and independent Rebekah LaVann, amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Filing deadline looms April 3, followed by June 16 primaries; odds could shift via rare GOP primary upset, Lucas withdrawal from scandal or health issues, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$31,939Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and 72% Republican presidential support in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, reinforced by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's declared re-election bid after landslide victories (74-78% margins in recent generals) and $813,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Weak opposition includes underfunded Democratic primary candidate Jules Roberson, Republican challenger Michael DiMario, and independent Rebekah LaVann, amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Filing deadline looms April 3, followed by June 16 primaries; odds could shift via rare GOP primary upset, Lucas withdrawal from scandal or health issues, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,939Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and 72% Republican presidential support in 2024, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, reinforced by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's declared re-election bid after landslide victories (74-78% margins in recent generals) and $813,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Weak opposition includes underfunded Democratic primary candidate Jules Roberson, Republican challenger Michael DiMario, and independent Rebekah LaVann, amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Filing deadline looms April 3, followed by June 16 primaries; odds could shift via rare GOP primary upset, Lucas withdrawal from scandal or health issues, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
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