In Nebraska's Senate race, trader consensus heavily favors Republican victory at 76.5% implied probability, driven by the state's nonpartisan top-two primary on May 14, which advanced former Gov. Pete Ricketts and challenger John Glen Weaver, both Republicans, while Democrat Preston Love Jr. placed third with just 4% and failed to advance. Recent polls, including a September Cannonball Strategy survey showing Ricketts leading Weaver 58%-24%, underscore the GOP lock on the seat in this deep-red state, which hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1934. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with the November 5 general election as the key upcoming event; low 3.8% odds on Democrat reflect write-in or upset barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Небраска
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Небраска
$87,417 Объем
$87,417 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
77%
Демократ
4%
$87,417 Объем
$87,417 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$37,161 Объем
77%
Демократ
$50,256 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Nebraska's Senate race, trader consensus heavily favors Republican victory at 76.5% implied probability, driven by the state's nonpartisan top-two primary on May 14, which advanced former Gov. Pete Ricketts and challenger John Glen Weaver, both Republicans, while Democrat Preston Love Jr. placed third with just 4% and failed to advance. Recent polls, including a September Cannonball Strategy survey showing Ricketts leading Weaver 58%-24%, underscore the GOP lock on the seat in this deep-red state, which hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1934. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with the November 5 general election as the key upcoming event; low 3.8% odds on Democrat reflect write-in or upset barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$87,417Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Nebraska's Senate race, trader consensus heavily favors Republican victory at 76.5% implied probability, driven by the state's nonpartisan top-two primary on May 14, which advanced former Gov. Pete Ricketts and challenger John Glen Weaver, both Republicans, while Democrat Preston Love Jr. placed third with just 4% and failed to advance. Recent polls, including a September Cannonball Strategy survey showing Ricketts leading Weaver 58%-24%, underscore the GOP lock on the seat in this deep-red state, which hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1934. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with the November 5 general election as the key upcoming event; low 3.8% odds on Democrat reflect write-in or upset barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$87,417Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Nebraska's Senate race, trader consensus heavily favors Republican victory at 76.5% implied probability, driven by the state's nonpartisan top-two primary on May 14, which advanced former Gov. Pete Ricketts and challenger John Glen Weaver, both Republicans, while Democrat Preston Love Jr. placed third with just 4% and failed to advance. Recent polls, including a September Cannonball Strategy survey showing Ricketts leading Weaver 58%-24%, underscore the GOP lock on the seat in this deep-red state, which hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1934. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with the November 5 general election as the key upcoming event; low 3.8% odds on Democrat reflect write-in or upset barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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