Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the Minnesota gubernatorial race as the Democratic frontrunner, following Gov. Tim Walz's January 2026 announcement declining a third term amid a state fraud scandal, has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and Emerson College polls from late January to mid-February show Klobuchar leading top Republicans like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 14-20 points, with averages around 50-52% support, bolstered by her overwhelming DFL caucus straw poll win and the GOP's fragmented primary field of over a dozen candidates, several of whom dropped out in February. Minnesota's DFL lean and Klobuchar's strong statewide record drive this commanding position ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a unified GOP nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican momentum could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Миннесоты
Победитель выборов губернатора Миннесоты
$44,833 Объем
$44,833 Объем

Демократ
93%

Республиканец
8%
$44,833 Объем
$44,833 Объем

Демократ
93%

Республиканец
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the Minnesota gubernatorial race as the Democratic frontrunner, following Gov. Tim Walz's January 2026 announcement declining a third term amid a state fraud scandal, has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and Emerson College polls from late January to mid-February show Klobuchar leading top Republicans like House Speaker Lisa Demuth by 14-20 points, with averages around 50-52% support, bolstered by her overwhelming DFL caucus straw poll win and the GOP's fragmented primary field of over a dozen candidates, several of whom dropped out in February. Minnesota's DFL lean and Klobuchar's strong statewide record drive this commanding position ahead of the August 11 primaries, though a unified GOP nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican momentum could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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