Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his three prior terms, strong fundraising, and historical incumbency advantages in the deeply conservative state where primaries often decide general election outcomes. Challenger Joe Evans, a low-profile analyst who filed after the February 27 deadline, trails at 2% amid no public polling, endorsements, or momentum-shifting developments in the past month. Absent major catalysts like a late scandal, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or unexpected voter turnout surges, the race remains firmly tilted toward the established incumbent ahead of early voting starting April 27.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 мая 2026 г.
Джим Риш
97%
Джо Эванс
2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 мая 2026 г.
Джим Риш
$8,380 Объем
97%
Джо Эванс
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his three prior terms, strong fundraising, and historical incumbency advantages in the deeply conservative state where primaries often decide general election outcomes. Challenger Joe Evans, a low-profile analyst who filed after the February 27 deadline, trails at 2% amid no public polling, endorsements, or momentum-shifting developments in the past month. Absent major catalysts like a late scandal, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or unexpected voter turnout surges, the race remains firmly tilted toward the established incumbent ahead of early voting starting April 27.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Объем
$8,380Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his three prior terms, strong fundraising, and historical incumbency advantages in the deeply conservative state where primaries often decide general election outcomes. Challenger Joe Evans, a low-profile analyst who filed after the February 27 deadline, trails at 2% amid no public polling, endorsements, or momentum-shifting developments in the past month. Absent major catalysts like a late scandal, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or unexpected voter turnout surges, the race remains firmly tilted toward the established incumbent ahead of early voting starting April 27.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$8,380Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Risch commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his three prior terms, strong fundraising, and historical incumbency advantages in the deeply conservative state where primaries often decide general election outcomes. Challenger Joe Evans, a low-profile analyst who filed after the February 27 deadline, trails at 2% amid no public polling, endorsements, or momentum-shifting developments in the past month. Absent major catalysts like a late scandal, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or unexpected voter turnout surges, the race remains firmly tilted toward the established incumbent ahead of early voting starting April 27.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы