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Выборы·Мадьяр

Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?

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Выборы·Мадьяр

Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?

$107,625 Объем

12 апр. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$107,625 Объем

Polymarket

90+

$15,822 Объем

83%

100+

$20,539 Объем

67%

110+

$22,331 Объем

62%

120+

$10,707 Объем

52%

130+

$38,226 Объем

28%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent independent polls from late March show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP among decided voters—56% to 37% in a 21 Research Centre survey and 51% to 38% in Závecz Research—fueling trader focus on Tisza's potential seat haul in the 199-seat National Assembly (106 single-member districts via first-past-the-post, 93 proportional). POLITICO's poll of polls averages Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 39%, driven by strong youth support over 60% for Tisza, economic discontent, and corruption allegations. Recent developments include claims of Russian election interference and a documentary alleging Fidesz voter intimidation, amid high undecided rates (20-26%) and Fidesz strength in rural districts per pro-government surveys projecting them 66 districts. Far-right Our Homeland (5%) could play kingmaker in coalition talks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$107,625
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent independent polls from late March show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP among decided voters—56% to 37% in a 21 Research Centre survey and 51% to 38% in Závecz Research—fueling trader focus on Tisza's potential seat haul in the 199-seat National Assembly (106 single-member districts via first-past-the-post, 93 proportional). POLITICO's poll of polls averages Tisza at 49% and Fidesz at 39%, driven by strong youth support over 60% for Tisza, economic discontent, and corruption allegations. Recent developments include claims of Russian election interference and a documentary alleging Fidesz voter intimidation, amid high undecided rates (20-26%) and Fidesz strength in rural districts per pro-government surveys projecting them 66 districts. Far-right Our Homeland (5%) could play kingmaker in coalition talks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$107,625
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «90+» с 83%, за ним следует «100+» с 67%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $107.6K с момента запуска рынка Mar 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?» — «90+» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «100+» с 67%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Венгрии: ТИСА получила___мест?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.