Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 19°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26, backed by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations reporting a daytime peak of 19°C under cool spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly data from Hankou and other verified sites confirmed no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms where late March highs in central China average 15–20°C amid lingering winter influences. Model forecasts from preceding days, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, had converged on this range with low variance. A realistic challenge would involve post hoc data correction for sensor error or an unverified station reading surfacing above 19°C, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 26, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
Mar 26, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Объем
No
12°C
$0 Объем
No
13°C
$0 Объем
No
14°C
$0 Объем
No
15°C
$0 Объем
No
16°C
$0 Объем
No
17°C
$0 Объем
No
18°C
$0 Объем
No
19°C
$0 Объем
Yes
20°C
$0 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$0 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 19°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26, backed by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations reporting a daytime peak of 19°C under cool spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly data from Hankou and other verified sites confirmed no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms where late March highs in central China average 15–20°C amid lingering winter influences. Model forecasts from preceding days, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, had converged on this range with low variance. A realistic challenge would involve post hoc data correction for sensor error or an unverified station reading surfacing above 19°C, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 26, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 19°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26, backed by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations reporting a daytime peak of 19°C under cool spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly data from Hankou and other verified sites confirmed no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms where late March highs in central China average 15–20°C amid lingering winter influences. Model forecasts from preceding days, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, had converged on this range with low variance. A realistic challenge would involve post hoc data correction for sensor error or an unverified station reading surfacing above 19°C, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Mar 26, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 19°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26, backed by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations reporting a daytime peak of 19°C under cool spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Hourly data from Hankou and other verified sites confirmed no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms where late March highs in central China average 15–20°C amid lingering winter influences. Model forecasts from preceding days, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, had converged on this range with low variance. A realistic challenge would involve post hoc data correction for sensor error or an unverified station reading surfacing above 19°C, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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