Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 23°C (24% implied probability) as Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, driven by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent overcast conditions through early April, including April 2's 20°C high amid fog and light rain, have capped temperatures below seasonal norms of 21-23°C, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thicker decks could limit 24-26°C outcomes (16.5% each), but clearer intervals might allow brief spikes. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen these closely matched probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
24°C 21%
25°C 16%
26°C 16%
23°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
12%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
24°C 21%
25°C 16%
26°C 16%
23°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$731 Объем
12%
22°C
$15 Объем
10%
23°C
$109 Объем
15%
24°C
$118 Объем
21%
25°C
$134 Объем
16%
26°C
$67 Объем
16%
27°C
$79 Объем
12%
28°C
$33 Объем
4%
29°C
$45 Объем
3%
30°C
$93 Объем
2%
31°C or higher
$228 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 23°C (24% implied probability) as Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, driven by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent overcast conditions through early April, including April 2's 20°C high amid fog and light rain, have capped temperatures below seasonal norms of 21-23°C, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thicker decks could limit 24-26°C outcomes (16.5% each), but clearer intervals might allow brief spikes. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen these closely matched probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Объем
$1,653Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 23°C (24% implied probability) as Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, driven by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent overcast conditions through early April, including April 2's 20°C high amid fog and light rain, have capped temperatures below seasonal norms of 21-23°C, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thicker decks could limit 24-26°C outcomes (16.5% each), but clearer intervals might allow brief spikes. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen these closely matched probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,653Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 23°C (24% implied probability) as Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 7, driven by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent overcast conditions through early April, including April 2's 20°C high amid fog and light rain, have capped temperatures below seasonal norms of 21-23°C, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thicker decks could limit 24-26°C outcomes (16.5% each), but clearer intervals might allow brief spikes. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen these closely matched probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы