Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a daytime high of 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 4, driving trader sentiment to price 26°C at near-certainty with 99.9% implied probability. This positioning reflects partly sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring warming above the early-April climatological average of 20-23°C. AccuWeather (77°F/25°C) and BBC Weather (25°C) align closely, with recent 24-hour model runs narrowing prior 21-27°C spreads. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover or a cool front capping peaks at 24°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 27°C; airport observations will confirm by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
26°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$66,945 Объем
$66,945 Объем
24°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$66,945 Объем
$66,945 Объем
24°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a daytime high of 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 4, driving trader sentiment to price 26°C at near-certainty with 99.9% implied probability. This positioning reflects partly sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring warming above the early-April climatological average of 20-23°C. AccuWeather (77°F/25°C) and BBC Weather (25°C) align closely, with recent 24-hour model runs narrowing prior 21-27°C spreads. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover or a cool front capping peaks at 24°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing toward 27°C; airport observations will confirm by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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