Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's April 3 high temperature in the mid-50s to upper 50s°F range, driving strong trader consensus on 56-57°F (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, closely followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F. This positioning aligns with early April climatological normals of about 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, amid NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring 40-50% above-normal spring temperatures due to persistent weak ridging aloft and moderating marine layer influence. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have shown stable mild patterns with minimal shifts from recent cloudier conditions. Uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts; daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model refreshes could adjust probabilities as landfall timing of any systems nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 3 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 3 апреля?
56-57°F 39%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
45°F или ниже
1%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
10%
64°F или выше
8%
56-57°F 39%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
45°F или ниже
$479 Объем
1%
46-47°F
$41 Объем
5%
48-49°F
$51 Объем
4%
50-51°F
$152 Объем
8%
52-53°F
$56 Объем
11%
54-55°F
$41 Объем
24%
56-57°F
$255 Объем
39%
58-59°F
$60 Объем
25%
60-61°F
$41 Объем
9%
62-63°F
$41 Объем
10%
64°F или выше
$61 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's April 3 high temperature in the mid-50s to upper 50s°F range, driving strong trader consensus on 56-57°F (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, closely followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F. This positioning aligns with early April climatological normals of about 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, amid NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring 40-50% above-normal spring temperatures due to persistent weak ridging aloft and moderating marine layer influence. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have shown stable mild patterns with minimal shifts from recent cloudier conditions. Uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts; daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model refreshes could adjust probabilities as landfall timing of any systems nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Объем
$1,278Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's April 3 high temperature in the mid-50s to upper 50s°F range, driving strong trader consensus on 56-57°F (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, closely followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F. This positioning aligns with early April climatological normals of about 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, amid NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring 40-50% above-normal spring temperatures due to persistent weak ridging aloft and moderating marine layer influence. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have shown stable mild patterns with minimal shifts from recent cloudier conditions. Uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts; daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model refreshes could adjust probabilities as landfall timing of any systems nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,278Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's April 3 high temperature in the mid-50s to upper 50s°F range, driving strong trader consensus on 56-57°F (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, closely followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F. This positioning aligns with early April climatological normals of about 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, amid NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring 40-50% above-normal spring temperatures due to persistent weak ridging aloft and moderating marine layer influence. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have shown stable mild patterns with minimal shifts from recent cloudier conditions. Uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts; daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model refreshes could adjust probabilities as landfall timing of any systems nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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