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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 43%

12°C 20%

10°C 19%

13°C 7%

Polymarket

$32,905 Объем

11°C 43%

12°C 20%

10°C 19%

13°C 7%

Polymarket

$32,905 Объем

6°C

$5,830 Объем

<1%

7°C

$1,657 Объем

<1%

8°C

$3,160 Объем

1%

9°C

$2,611 Объем

2%

10°C

$2,696 Объем

19%

11°C

$2,711 Объем

43%

12°C

$2,379 Объем

20%

13°C

$2,269 Объем

7%

14°C

$2,921 Объем

1%

15°C or higher

$4,033 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 27 at around 11°C, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, as a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advects mild Atlantic air masses northward. Current observations show Warsaw's recent highs in the 8–10°C range amid light southerly winds, with minimal cloud cover expected to allow daytime heating. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 10°C and 12°C due to potential timing of a weak frontal boundary, reflected in trader consensus pricing 10°C (18.5%) and 12°C (19.5%) as strong contenders. Updated model runs expected by midday March 26 could refine these probabilities further. Historical March highs in Warsaw average 9°C, making this mild outlook consistent with early spring climatology.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$32,905
Дата окончания
Mar 27, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 27 at around 11°C, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, as a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advects mild Atlantic air masses northward. Current observations show Warsaw's recent highs in the 8–10°C range amid light southerly winds, with minimal cloud cover expected to allow daytime heating. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 10°C and 12°C due to potential timing of a weak frontal boundary, reflected in trader consensus pricing 10°C (18.5%) and 12°C (19.5%) as strong contenders. Updated model runs expected by midday March 26 could refine these probabilities further. Historical March highs in Warsaw average 9°C, making this mild outlook consistent with early spring climatology.

Latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Warsaw's highest temperature on March 27 at around 11°C, aligning with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, as a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advects mild Atlantic air masses northward. Current observations show Warsaw's recent highs in the 8–10°C range amid light southerly winds, with minimal cloud cover expected to allow daytime heating. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 10°C and 12°C due to potential timing of a weak frontal boundary, reflected in trader consensus pricing 10°C (18.5%) and 12°C (19.5%) as strong contenders. Updated model runs expected by midday March 26 could refine these probabilities further. Historical March highs in Warsaw average 9°C, making this mild outlook consistent with early spring climatology.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «11°C» с 43%, за ним следует «12°C» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $32.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?» — «11°C» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.