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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 28%

50-51°F 28%

54-55°F 20%

48-49°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

52-53°F 28%

50-51°F 28%

54-55°F 20%

48-49°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

47°F or below

$691 Объем

10%

48-49°F

$424 Объем

12%

50-51°F

$1,423 Объем

28%

52-53°F

$487 Объем

28%

54-55°F

$843 Объем

20%

56-57°F

$290 Объем

15%

58-59°F

$254 Объем

6%

60-61°F

$433 Объем

2%

62-63°F

$289 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$287 Объем

<1%

66°F or higher

$472 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on March 29, with models clustering around 50-53°F as leading outcomes at roughly equal implied probabilities. The National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a mid-50s peak driven by weak high pressure building over the Northeast, moderating earlier cool air advection, though persistent cloud cover and light onshore flow cap significant warming. Divergence arises from differing depictions of boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability, with Euro models slightly cooler than GFS. Historical late-March averages hover near 52°F, aligning with this range; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow, which could sharpen the signal ahead of the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,892
Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on March 29, with models clustering around 50-53°F as leading outcomes at roughly equal implied probabilities. The National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a mid-50s peak driven by weak high pressure building over the Northeast, moderating earlier cool air advection, though persistent cloud cover and light onshore flow cap significant warming. Divergence arises from differing depictions of boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability, with Euro models slightly cooler than GFS. Historical late-March averages hover near 52°F, aligning with this range; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow, which could sharpen the signal ahead of the event.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on March 29, with models clustering around 50-53°F as leading outcomes at roughly equal implied probabilities. The National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a mid-50s peak driven by weak high pressure building over the Northeast, moderating earlier cool air advection, though persistent cloud cover and light onshore flow cap significant warming. Divergence arises from differing depictions of boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability, with Euro models slightly cooler than GFS. Historical late-March averages hover near 52°F, aligning with this range; watch for 12Z model updates tomorrow, which could sharpen the signal ahead of the event.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «50-51°F» с 28%, за ним следует «52-53°F» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 25, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» — «50-51°F» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «52-53°F» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.