Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Dallas high of 76-77°F at 37.5% implied probability on March 27, with 78-79°F next at 26%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this mild range amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains. Southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico are advecting warmer air, pushing temperatures 8-12°F above the March climatological average of 67°F, though recent model runs incorporated slight cooling from increased mid-level clouds and potential shear. Key uncertainties include diurnally driven boundary layer mixing and any upstream frontal boundary adjustments; new high-resolution updates from NOAA are expected every six hours ahead of the event, which could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
76-77°F 38%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 7%
$72,969 Объем
$72,969 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 38%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 7%
$72,969 Объем
$72,969 Объем
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Dallas high of 76-77°F at 37.5% implied probability on March 27, with 78-79°F next at 26%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this mild range amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains. Southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico are advecting warmer air, pushing temperatures 8-12°F above the March climatological average of 67°F, though recent model runs incorporated slight cooling from increased mid-level clouds and potential shear. Key uncertainties include diurnally driven boundary layer mixing and any upstream frontal boundary adjustments; new high-resolution updates from NOAA are expected every six hours ahead of the event, which could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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