National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
60-61°F 25%
62-63°F 23%
64-65°F 18%
58-59°F 13%
$18,362 Объем
$18,362 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
53°F или ниже
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 25%
62-63°F 23%
64-65°F 18%
58-59°F 13%
$18,362 Объем
$18,362 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
53°F или ниже
$4,604 Объем
1%
54-55°F
$1,410 Объем
1%
56-57°F
$2,217 Объем
6%
58-59°F
$1,600 Объем
13%
60-61°F
$1,287 Объем
25%
62-63°F
$977 Объем
23%
64-65°F
$1,010 Объем
18%
66-67°F
$714 Объем
6%
68-69°F
$845 Объем
2%
70-71°F
$992 Объем
1%
72°F or higher
$2,707 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$18,362Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$18,362Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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