Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?
Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?
$62,841 Объем
Feb 8, 2026

ЛДП
Да

ЦРА
Нет

ПИЯ
Нет

ДПН
Нет

Сансэйто
Нет

Рэйва
Нет

КПЯ
Нет

КПЯ
Нет

СДП
Нет

Мирай
Нет
$62,841 Объем

ЛДП
$5,145 Объем
Да

ЦРА
$6,849 Объем
Нет

ПИЯ
$10,784 Объем
Нет

ДПН
$3,537 Объем
Нет

Сансэйто
$6,245 Объем
Нет

Рэйва
$6,195 Объем
Нет

КПЯ
$5,752 Объем
Нет

КПЯ
$6,561 Объем
Нет

СДП
$6,175 Объем
Нет

Мирай
$5,597 Объем
Нет
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market.
A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market.
If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition.
This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances.
If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market.
A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market.
If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition.
This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances.
If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market.
A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market.
If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition.
This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances.
If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$62,841Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да

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