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Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?

Market icon
Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?

$62,841 Объем

8 фев. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$62,841 Объем

Polymarket
Market icon

ЛДП

$5,145 Объем

Да

Market icon

ЦРА

$6,849 Объем

Нет

Market icon

ПИЯ

$10,784 Объем

Нет

Market icon

ДПН

$3,537 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Сансэйто

$6,245 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Рэйва

$6,195 Объем

Нет

Market icon

КПЯ

$5,752 Объем

Нет

Market icon

КПЯ

$6,561 Объем

Нет

Market icon

СДП

$6,175 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Мирай

$5,597 Объем

Нет

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market. A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market. If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition. This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances. If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market.

A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market.

If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition.

This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances.

If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).
Объем
$62,841
Дата окончания
8 фев. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market. A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market. If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition. This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances. If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market. A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market. If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition. This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances. If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market.

A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market.

If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition.

This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances.

If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).
Объем
$62,841
Дата окончания
8 фев. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is part of the first governing, non-caretaker coalition formed as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will be considered part of the governing coalition only if, following the election, at least one member of that party is formally appointed as a Cabinet minister by the Prime Minister. The existence or non-existence of a written coalition agreement will not be determinative for purposes of this market. A party that supports the government through a confidence-and-supply arrangement, legislative cooperation, or voting support, but does not hold any Cabinet minister positions, will not be considered part of the governing coalition for purposes of this market. If one party holds a majority and provides all Cabinet ministers, that party is the sole governing party, and all other parties are considered not part of the governing coalition. This market may resolve once the Prime Minister is elected by the National Diet and the Cabinet is formally appointed and announced under non-caretaker circumstances. If the composition of the governing coalition is not known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting regarding the formation of the governing coalition. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official statements or documentation from the Japanese government, including the Prime Minister’s Office or the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «ЛДП» с 100%, за ним следует «ЦРА» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $62.8K с момента запуска рынка Jan 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?» — «ЛДП» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ЦРА» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Правящие партии после незапланированных выборов в Японии?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.