Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73.5% to win Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the latest Emerson College poll (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46% and a hypothetical general election matchup 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. This builds on prior UNF polling from early March indicating single-digit Republican leads amid term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis's strong legacy in the increasingly Republican-leaning state. Recent Democratic flips in special elections for State Senate District 14 and House District 87 signal potential turnout shifts, but historical base rates for GOP incumbency advantages and primary dynamics on August 18 sustain the lopsided odds, with Democrats at 23.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
Победитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$10,892 Объем
$10,892 Объем

Республиканец
76%

Демократ
23%
$10,892 Объем
$10,892 Объем

Республиканец
76%

Демократ
23%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73.5% to win Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the latest Emerson College poll (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46% and a hypothetical general election matchup 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. This builds on prior UNF polling from early March indicating single-digit Republican leads amid term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis's strong legacy in the increasingly Republican-leaning state. Recent Democratic flips in special elections for State Senate District 14 and House District 87 signal potential turnout shifts, but historical base rates for GOP incumbency advantages and primary dynamics on August 18 sustain the lopsided odds, with Democrats at 23.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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