Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to deliver victory for the Democratic Party in California's 50th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating under new Proposition 50 maps upheld by courts in February 2026. Peters benefits from strong fundraising, long tenure since 2013, and a coastal San Diego base with favorable demographics, including high Democratic turnout in past cycles. Recent GOP challenger Steve Cohen, former KUSI news director who announced March 13, has failed to shift odds amid the June 2 top-two primary approaching. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong Republican primary qualifier, scandal or health issue for Peters, or national midterm Republican wave boosting turnout in battleground areas.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоCA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,281 Объем
$18,281 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$18,281 Объем
$18,281 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$13,332 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$4,949 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to deliver victory for the Democratic Party in California's 50th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating under new Proposition 50 maps upheld by courts in February 2026. Peters benefits from strong fundraising, long tenure since 2013, and a coastal San Diego base with favorable demographics, including high Democratic turnout in past cycles. Recent GOP challenger Steve Cohen, former KUSI news director who announced March 13, has failed to shift odds amid the June 2 top-two primary approaching. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong Republican primary qualifier, scandal or health issue for Peters, or national midterm Republican wave boosting turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$18,281Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to deliver victory for the Democratic Party in California's 50th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating under new Proposition 50 maps upheld by courts in February 2026. Peters benefits from strong fundraising, long tenure since 2013, and a coastal San Diego base with favorable demographics, including high Democratic turnout in past cycles. Recent GOP challenger Steve Cohen, former KUSI news director who announced March 13, has failed to shift odds amid the June 2 top-two primary approaching. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong Republican primary qualifier, scandal or health issue for Peters, or national midterm Republican wave boosting turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,281Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability to deliver victory for the Democratic Party in California's 50th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating under new Proposition 50 maps upheld by courts in February 2026. Peters benefits from strong fundraising, long tenure since 2013, and a coastal San Diego base with favorable demographics, including high Democratic turnout in past cycles. Recent GOP challenger Steve Cohen, former KUSI news director who announced March 13, has failed to shift odds amid the June 2 top-two primary approaching. Realistic challenges include a surprise strong Republican primary qualifier, scandal or health issue for Peters, or national midterm Republican wave boosting turnout in battleground areas.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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