Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation to contest April 19 snap parliamentary elections, providing visibility amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, supported by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's steady parliamentary polling around 11-12% in recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys, signaling reformist appeal. GERB's Boyko Borissov (10.9%) and former PM Rosen Zhelyazkov (10.5%) benefit from established party infrastructure despite fragmented polls favoring Progressive Bulgaria. No recent presidential surveys exist; upcoming parliamentary results could reshape the field before the two-round direct vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Болгарии
Президентские выборы в Болгарии
Илияна Йотова 42%
Николай Денков 23%
Бойко Борисов 11.9%
Росен Желязков 11%
$60,047 Объем
$60,047 Объем

Илияна Йотова
42%

Николай Денков
23%

Бойко Борисов
12%

Росен Желязков
11%

Янаки Стоилов
5%

Росен Плевнелиев
5%

Атанас Атанасов
4%

Благомир Коцев
4%

Васил Терзиев
3%

Крум Зарков
1%

Костадин Костадинов
1%

Делян Пеевский
1%

Наталия Киселова
<1%
Илияна Йотова 42%
Николай Денков 23%
Бойко Борисов 11.9%
Росен Желязков 11%
$60,047 Объем
$60,047 Объем

Илияна Йотова
42%

Николай Денков
23%

Бойко Борисов
12%

Росен Желязков
11%

Янаки Стоилов
5%

Росен Плевнелиев
5%

Атанас Атанасов
4%

Благомир Коцев
4%

Васил Терзиев
3%

Крум Зарков
1%

Костадин Костадинов
1%

Делян Пеевский
1%

Наталия Киселова
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation to contest April 19 snap parliamentary elections, providing visibility amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, supported by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's steady parliamentary polling around 11-12% in recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys, signaling reformist appeal. GERB's Boyko Borissov (10.9%) and former PM Rosen Zhelyazkov (10.5%) benefit from established party infrastructure despite fragmented polls favoring Progressive Bulgaria. No recent presidential surveys exist; upcoming parliamentary results could reshape the field before the two-round direct vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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