Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДжей Фили 71%
Джозеф Чаплик 5.5%
Тодд Грэм 5.4%
Джон Тробо 3.1%
$306,421 Объем
$306,421 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Джей Фили
71%
Джозеф Чаплик
6%
Тодд Грэм
5%
Джон Тробо
3%
Брэндон Сауэрс
2%
Деррик Галлего
2%
Джина Свобода
1%
Марк Брунович
1%
Кари Лэйк
1%
Пол Ривз
1%
Джейсон Дьюи
6%
Кейтлин Пёррингтон
1%
Мэтт Гресс
1%
Мишель Удженти-Рита
<1%
Джей Фили 71%
Джозеф Чаплик 5.5%
Тодд Грэм 5.4%
Джон Тробо 3.1%
$306,421 Объем
$306,421 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Джей Фили
$4,558 Объем
71%
Джозеф Чаплик
$7,369 Объем
6%
Тодд Грэм
$0 Объем
5%
Джон Тробо
$0 Объем
3%
Брэндон Сауэрс
$0 Объем
2%
Деррик Галлего
$2,937 Объем
2%
Джина Свобода
$0 Объем
1%
Марк Брунович
$4,312 Объем
1%
Кари Лэйк
$6,398 Объем
1%
Пол Ривз
$220,976 Объем
1%
Джейсон Дьюи
$0 Объем
6%
Кейтлин Пёррингтон
$8,015 Объем
1%
Мэтт Гресс
$47,835 Объем
1%
Мишель Удженти-Рита
$4,021 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Объем
$306,421Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$306,421Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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