Polymarket traders' 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range reflects economist consensus forecasts near 2.9–3.0%, tilted higher by February's 2.9% print that exceeded expectations of 2.7% amid surging regulated prices like utilities and fuels, plus food costs up 3.3%. Partial late-March data from private consultoras indicate first-half dynamics around 2.4–3.1%, compounded by 0.3 percentage points from elevated global oil amid the Iran conflict. Disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity has stalled after five months of steady 2.9% readings, sidelining sub-3.0% outcomes; official INDEC release expected April 14 could catalyze shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 21%
3.4–3.6% 8.3%
2.5–2.7% 4.1%
$15,502 Объем
$15,502 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
3%
2.5–2.7%
4%
2.8–3.0%
21%
3.1–3.3%
68%
3.4–3.6%
8%
3.7%+
<1%
3.1–3.3% 68%
2.8–3.0% 21%
3.4–3.6% 8.3%
2.5–2.7% 4.1%
$15,502 Объем
$15,502 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
≤2.1%
$1,263 Объем
1%
2.2–2.4%
$882 Объем
3%
2.5–2.7%
$1,213 Объем
4%
2.8–3.0%
$1,534 Объем
21%
3.1–3.3%
$4,922 Объем
68%
3.4–3.6%
$2,202 Объем
8%
3.7%+
$3,485 Объем
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range reflects economist consensus forecasts near 2.9–3.0%, tilted higher by February's 2.9% print that exceeded expectations of 2.7% amid surging regulated prices like utilities and fuels, plus food costs up 3.3%. Partial late-March data from private consultoras indicate first-half dynamics around 2.4–3.1%, compounded by 0.3 percentage points from elevated global oil amid the Iran conflict. Disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity has stalled after five months of steady 2.9% readings, sidelining sub-3.0% outcomes; official INDEC release expected April 14 could catalyze shifts.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Объем
$15,502Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range reflects economist consensus forecasts near 2.9–3.0%, tilted higher by February's 2.9% print that exceeded expectations of 2.7% amid surging regulated prices like utilities and fuels, plus food costs up 3.3%. Partial late-March data from private consultoras indicate first-half dynamics around 2.4–3.1%, compounded by 0.3 percentage points from elevated global oil amid the Iran conflict. Disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity has stalled after five months of steady 2.9% readings, sidelining sub-3.0% outcomes; official INDEC release expected April 14 could catalyze shifts.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$15,502Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' 67.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range reflects economist consensus forecasts near 2.9–3.0%, tilted higher by February's 2.9% print that exceeded expectations of 2.7% amid surging regulated prices like utilities and fuels, plus food costs up 3.3%. Partial late-March data from private consultoras indicate first-half dynamics around 2.4–3.1%, compounded by 0.3 percentage points from elevated global oil amid the Iran conflict. Disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity has stalled after five months of steady 2.9% readings, sidelining sub-3.0% outcomes; official INDEC release expected April 14 could catalyze shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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