Recent reporting from outlets like The Information and Bloomberg reveals Anthropic executives discussing an IPO as soon as Q4 2026—after the June 30 deadline—potentially raising over $60 billion amid banker expectations of a $300 billion-plus valuation, driving Polymarket's 96.4% trader consensus on no IPO by mid-year. This strong positioning reflects the lack of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or concrete pre-July preparations, even as Anthropic scales its Claude large language model, triples revenue run-rate toward $26 billion, and deepens Amazon-Google partnerships for AI infrastructure. Historical AI IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny on frontier models, and market volatility further cement caution; however, an unexpected SEC filing, earnings surge, or strategic pivot could accelerate plans and shift odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 96.4%
600 млрд+ 2.1%
300–400 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$914,309 Объем
$914,309 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
1%
400–600 млрд
1%
600 млрд+
2%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
96%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 96.4%
600 млрд+ 2.1%
300–400 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$914,309 Объем
$914,309 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$190,550 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$63,045 Объем
1%
200–300 млрд
$118,440 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$60,164 Объем
1%
400–600 млрд
$91,280 Объем
1%
600 млрд+
$231,054 Объем
2%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
$159,775 Объем
96%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reporting from outlets like The Information and Bloomberg reveals Anthropic executives discussing an IPO as soon as Q4 2026—after the June 30 deadline—potentially raising over $60 billion amid banker expectations of a $300 billion-plus valuation, driving Polymarket's 96.4% trader consensus on no IPO by mid-year. This strong positioning reflects the lack of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or concrete pre-July preparations, even as Anthropic scales its Claude large language model, triples revenue run-rate toward $26 billion, and deepens Amazon-Google partnerships for AI infrastructure. Historical AI IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny on frontier models, and market volatility further cement caution; however, an unexpected SEC filing, earnings surge, or strategic pivot could accelerate plans and shift odds dramatically.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Объем
$914,309Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reporting from outlets like The Information and Bloomberg reveals Anthropic executives discussing an IPO as soon as Q4 2026—after the June 30 deadline—potentially raising over $60 billion amid banker expectations of a $300 billion-plus valuation, driving Polymarket's 96.4% trader consensus on no IPO by mid-year. This strong positioning reflects the lack of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or concrete pre-July preparations, even as Anthropic scales its Claude large language model, triples revenue run-rate toward $26 billion, and deepens Amazon-Google partnerships for AI infrastructure. Historical AI IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny on frontier models, and market volatility further cement caution; however, an unexpected SEC filing, earnings surge, or strategic pivot could accelerate plans and shift odds dramatically.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$914,309Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reporting from outlets like The Information and Bloomberg reveals Anthropic executives discussing an IPO as soon as Q4 2026—after the June 30 deadline—potentially raising over $60 billion amid banker expectations of a $300 billion-plus valuation, driving Polymarket's 96.4% trader consensus on no IPO by mid-year. This strong positioning reflects the lack of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or concrete pre-July preparations, even as Anthropic scales its Claude large language model, triples revenue run-rate toward $26 billion, and deepens Amazon-Google partnerships for AI infrastructure. Historical AI IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny on frontier models, and market volatility further cement caution; however, an unexpected SEC filing, earnings surge, or strategic pivot could accelerate plans and shift odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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