With incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 has produced a fragmented field, elevating Democrat Tom Begich to a slim 25% trader consensus lead on his recent polling edge around 21-22% in the first round of ranked-choice voting simulations. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%) and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18%) trail closely amid a crowded Republican slate splitting support, as February fundraising reports highlighted Begich's $350,000 grassroots haul against Taylor's $880,000 (partly self-funded) and others' six-figure starts without a breakout. The race remains tight pending June 1 filing deadline, endorsements from Dunleavy allies, fresh polls, or withdrawals that could consolidate GOP votes for top-four advancement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
Трег Тейлор 8.2%
$385,178 Объем
$385,178 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
17%

Нэнси Дальстром
8%

Лиза Мурковски
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 15%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
Трег Тейлор 8.2%
$385,178 Объем
$385,178 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
17%

Нэнси Дальстром
8%

Лиза Мурковски
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Шелли Хьюз
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 has produced a fragmented field, elevating Democrat Tom Begich to a slim 25% trader consensus lead on his recent polling edge around 21-22% in the first round of ranked-choice voting simulations. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%) and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18%) trail closely amid a crowded Republican slate splitting support, as February fundraising reports highlighted Begich's $350,000 grassroots haul against Taylor's $880,000 (partly self-funded) and others' six-figure starts without a breakout. The race remains tight pending June 1 filing deadline, endorsements from Dunleavy allies, fresh polls, or withdrawals that could consolidate GOP votes for top-four advancement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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